Louis Hissink's Crazy World

Timo Niroma has posted his latest analysis of solar sunspots on his website.

“ The yearly spot value of 2007 was already only 7.6 which is below the previous minimum in 1996 (with 8.6). The value dropped to 2.6 in 2008 and the smoothed value at the moment is 1.7 (December 2008). (In December 2007 it was 5.0 .) We must go to the year 1913 to find a lower smoothed value (1.5). The November 2008 value means that the cycle 23 has at least a length of 12.6 years.

There has been only 2 cycles since 1749 longer than the cycle 23, the cycle 4 (1784-1798) just before the Dalton minimum and the cycle 6 (1810-1823 or the second of the Dalton cycles). The cycle 9 (1843-1856) had about the same length as we have now achieved (12.5 years). It began the series of 5 Jovian cycles and a cool climate in 1856-1913 (the Damon minimum). 

Now what do we have: 1. Livingston-Penn observations that the magnetic strength of the sunspots irrespective of their amount has linearly declined (my emphasis LH) since at least 1990 leading the spots vanishing in 2014 or 2015 if the trend continues. 2. A 50-year low in solar wind pressure: Measurements by the Ulysses spacecraft reveal a 20% drop in solar wind pressure since the mid-1990's. 3. A 12 year low in solar irradiance: the sun's brightness has dropped a whopping 6% at extreme UV wavelengths since the solar minimum of 1996. 4. A 55-year low in solar radio wavelengths. The lessening of radio emissions seems to be an indication of weakness in the sun's global magnetic field. 5. The all-time low (since Maunder minimum) of Gleissberg cycle in 2005 (72 years). 6. Ap Index very low. 7. TSI (Total Solar Irradiance) at its lowest since satellite observations began in 1979 (1365 Watts).

Autocorrelation of the sunspots since 1760 gives the highest correlation as 210 years. The Dalton minimum began in 1798.

The yearly sunspotnumbers of 1795-1798 were 21, 16, 6.4 and 4.1, the corresponding values for 2005-2008 were 30, 15, 7.6 and 2.8. The first full Dalton year or 1799, had a SSN value of 6.8. The SSN of the first 6 months of 2009 is 1.7.

Adding the previous minimum 1995-1998 yearly values to these:

1796 16 / 1995 18 / 2006 15

1797 ..6 / 1996 ..9 / 2007 ..8

1798 ..4 / 1997 22 / 2008 ..3

1799 ..7 / 1998 64 / 2009 thus far 1.7

Well, there was the 300-year Roman Optimum in 100 BC to AD 200, the 200-year oscillation 200-900 (200 cold, 300 warm, 400 cold, 600-900 cold), the 300-year Medieval Optimum 900-1200 (with some colder spells plus warm aftermaths), the 300-year Little Ice Age 1400-1700, the 300-year "Global Warming" 1700-2005 (with some drawbacks especially in the 1800's). A NEW LIA WITH SPÖRER AND MAUNDER IN 2005-2300???

THE CYCLE 24 HAS NOW GONE CLEARLY BELOW DALTON LEVEL

Comment: The clue lies in the observation that the magnetic field strength of the sunspots has declined linearly (bold emphasis above), which simply means that the electric currents forming the sunspots have declined in power density; sunspots are really electric discharge sites on the Sun’s photosphere after all, though the inability to link magnetic fields to electric currents remains perplexing in astrophysics and among the sunspot spotters. 

Sunspots are really the “indicator” lights on the Sun, indicating the strength of the galactic electric currents powering the sun have decreased in power.

I also posted a short comment on the possible mechanism for the Earth’s geomagnetic field, implying that it’s caused by the polar Birkeland currents – well – that is partially right since further thinking about it has revealed a better explanation, but that can wait when I return to Perth, early in July since the Norsat satellite service I am using here in Pardoo has it’s moments, something to do with the geophysics of the atmosphere, among other factors.

Update: I missed the comment about “solar wind pressure” which is another misapplication of the terms used to describe gases to plasma – we are dealing with plasma, and it’s the decrease in the solar electric currents that is the correct term. While we continue to use inappropriate terminology to describe plasma, it will be difficult for mainstream science to make the paradigm shift to the Plasma Model.

We still live in Stanley Steamer era astrophysics!

I’ll be in the bush east of Port Hedland on a drilling program looking for Direct Shipping Ore (DSO) for the next week or so, and longer if we hit paydirt.

Email is via satellite connection (slooow). Staying at Pardoo Station.

 

 

Climate modelling of new data from the Aztec Codex Cihuacoatl has identified a relationship with important implications for global warming mitigation. The research suggests a strong causal pathway exists between climate change and Aztec rituals of “nourishing the gods” with blood sacrifice.

The evidence supports a revival of (humane) human sacrifice (HHS) as a mechanism for retarding environmental degradation and reducing dangerous climate change. HHS also would improve crop yields by allowing more effective control of surface temperature and rainfall; create anthropogenic biochar for soil enhancement and long-term carbon enrichment, especially in tropical environments with low-carbon sequestration capacity and depleted ferrasol and acrisol zones; and reduce population growth rates as the Earth’s carrying capacity comes under further pressure this century.

Aztec culture has attracted scrutiny ever since Hernan Cortéz and his conquistadors entered King Montezuma’s palace in the lagoon city of Tenochtitlan (now Mexico City) on November 8, 1519, triggering the destruction of an entire civilisation in only two years.

There has been, however, no investigation into whether Aztec sacrificial rituals might have influenced climate change in Middle America. Did they affect regional temperature and rainfall patterns? Did they improve crop yields in ways unknown to modern science?

Recent research by Mexico’s Institute Nacional de Antropologia e Historia and international climate experts is producing new data that could answer these controversial questions. But why has the subject been neglected for over half a century?

First, cultural sensitivities and entrenched superstition discouraged study of Aztec human sacrifice. Second, there was a lack of evidence. While pictorial codices and other accounts of Aztec society exist, it took the sensational rediscovery last year of missing sections of the Codex Cihuacoatl (circa 1520) to revive academic interest.

Third, climate research has been refining its knowledge over the past two decades. The World Climate Research Programme (WCRP)—and its Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) model—only recently acquired the capacity to “simulate and project climate with unprecedented accuracy”[1]. With CLIVAR, reconstruction of past Middle American climates with greater precision has been possible. It has allowed complex time series simulation and use of eclectic proxies for temperature and other variables where empirical data is lacking.

The new Codex evidence is reviewed here with reference to Aztec cosmology, sacrificial rituals, sacred tonalamatl (divinatory) calendars, CLIVAR modelling and Mexico’s mammoth discoveries. Implications for global warming mitigation are discussed and recommendations made for the urgent attention of international agencies and governments.

More here

Using data from NASA's THEMIS mission, a team of University of Alberta researchers has pinpointed the impact epicenter of an earthbound space storm as it crashes into the atmosphere, and given an advance warning of its arrival.

The team's study reveals that magnetic blast waves can be used to pinpoint and predict the location where space storms dissipate their massive amounts of energy. These storms can dump the equivalent of 50 gigawatts of power, or the output of 10 of the world's largest power stations, into Earth's atmosphere.

The energy that drives space storms originates on the sun. The stream of electrically charged particles in the solar wind carries this energy toward Earth. The solar wind interacts with Earth's magnetic field. Scientists call the process that begins with Earth's magnetic field capturing energy and ends with its release into the atmosphere a geomagnetic substorm.

So not only does the Earth receive energy in the form of direct radiation from the SUN, but now it gets it from geomagnetic sub storms.  I wonder if the weather people have factored this in their physics of the earth’s atmosphere? Magnetic blast waves are simply the means by which invisible electric currents, plasma operating in the dark current mode, are located. It’s an electric currrent that is producing the blast waves.

The Earth is an electrically charged sphere immersed in the electric plasma of space and the behaviour of its atmosphere is determined by the weather in the enveloping plasma of space.

I wonder how long it will take for the NASA people to start realizing that they are measuring electric currents, rather than “magnetic tremors”.

More here

David Evans posted up his recollection of the Wong-Fielding meeting recently and it can be read here.

What interested me was the remark that the variability in solar irradiance was insufficient:

“First the Chief Scientist spoke on how fluctuations in solar irradiance (the amount of light and heat coming from the sun) hadn’t changed enough to account for more than a small fraction of the recent global warming”.

Here is the whole problem in a nutshell – the continued use of the Solar Standard Model that assumes the only energy reaching us from the sun is from its radiation.

Little wonder that so much effort is being directed to the problem of explaining the observed global temperatures when the physics of the Sun is basically wrong. The Earth received energy from the sun also from the electrical connection that NASA has now confirmed.

Deny the existence of the electrical factor behind the universe and of course we will end up with such bizarre theories as AGW.

It’s simply another episode of the pseudoscience that afflicts the progressive world.